Candidate Trump has won in the US presidential election in 2024. The world has ushered in a domain of greater havocs. The United States will present requests that may deteriorate our livelihood and destroy Article Nine of the Constitution. Politics based on the US-Japan alliance must be changed now.
OVERCOME DOCTRINE OF RELIANCE ON US-JAPAN ALLIANCE!
Commercial media outlets have began reporting that the Trump-led US government will demand the Japanese government to contribute more to the former on the ground that the new US government will have an ‘internally-looking stance’ and want to avoid ‘a vacuum of the international order’ in the Asia-Pacific region. The media’s uproar helps Trump’s expectations.
A request of spending 3% of GDP on military field
A strategic adversary of the United States is China. Under the Biden administration the US Congress has elaborated tactics on the bipartisanship basis to cope with the rival, integrating Japan into the agenda as a front-line soldier. The succeeding administration will keep the same strategy, provoking a ‘Taiwan contingency’ in order to let China exhausted economically and militarily.
The new US government will diminish burdens stemming from the conflict in Ukraine, shifting its energies toward China. Trying to avoid its own losses, it will make Japan owe costs.
In addition to a request to appropriate more to the stationing of US military in Japan, the coming government will demand to allocate 3% of the GDP in the defense budget so that the government of Japan should buy an enormous volume of US-made weapons. It will urge to strengthen capabilities of the Self Defense Forces (SDF), share infrastructures in common, and develop logistics bases across the country, though it will deploy a minor number of the Marines during certain ‘emergencies.’
The Self Defense Forces Act was revised in the recent ordinary session of the Diet to set up a new headquarters of integrated operational command of the ground, air and maritime forces, and a new command center will be established on the side of the US military, too, to ally with the new phase, which was confirmed by the two governments. Processes are going on in which the SDF will be commanded by the US military.
The new administration will use tariffs as a weapon to make others purchase US products: the first-round Trump administration threatened Japan over the tariff on automobiles and forced to reduce customs duties on Japanese agricultural goods. The government of Japan left agriculture in the lurch to support capitals of the car industry. The big capitals gradually shifted its manufacturing sites to North American nations to survive. The second-round Trump administration’s ‘deal’ may endanger agriculture and small-and-medium-sized enterprises.
A fellow traveler will lead us to the hell
Incidentally, the Diet has enacted a series of laws for years in terms of consolidating the economic security agenda, keenly focusing on China. The new US government will request strict implementation of these laws and drive a wedge in the economic ties between China and Japan so that technologies may not leak of the US-Japan bilateral development efforts in the fields of leading-edge and military-related industries.
The ‘pivot of US-Japan alliance’, a companion of the Japanese government, will take us to the hell. They are even ready to talk openly about nuclear armament of Japan as an option, alternating the US.
A realist path to overcome difficulties is only one; to improve Japan’s relationship with China, changing the ‘US-Japan alliance’ dictatorial scheme, which even the Constitutional Democratic Party, the biggest opposition, relies on. When a trade volume with China increases, threatening by the US government will not work. An enormous increase in the defense budget and a bulk purchase of US-made weapons will be eluded, too.
トランプ米大統領の再現で、世界は一段と危うい次元に入った。米国から、私たちの暮らしと憲法９条を破砕するような要求が出されてくるだろう。「日米同盟基軸」の政治を今こそ見直すときだ。
メディアは、トランプ政権は「内向き」だから、アジア・太平洋の「秩序の真空」を防ぐために日本はひと肌ぬげなどと喧伝し始めたが、トランプの思うつぼだ。
ＧＤＰ比３％要求
米国の戦略的な敵対国は中国である。バイデン政権から議会は超党派で対抗策を練り、日本はその尖兵に組み込まれてきた。中国を経済的にも軍事的にも消耗させるために「台湾有事」を煽る戦略はトランプ政権も何ら変わりない。
ウクライナ対応などの荷を軽くし、中国シフトを強めるだろう。一段と強引に、自国の損失を抑え日本の負担を強いるのである。
在日米軍駐留経費増額どころか「防衛費」のＧＤＰ比３％を求め、米国製武器の爆買いを強いるだろう。「有事」対応には少数の海兵隊は配備するが、自衛隊の戦闘能力強化とインフラの共同使用、兵站基地の全国展開を求めるだろう。
通常国会で成立した改定自衛隊法は、陸海空自衛隊の統合作戦司令部新設を決め、それに対応する米軍の司令部新設も両国間で確認された。米軍の指揮下で自衛隊が使われる準備が進行している。
トランプ政権は、関税を武器に米国製品購入を迫る。第一次トランプ時代に自動車関税で脅され、日本の農産物関税引き下げを余儀なくされた。日本は自動車資本のために農業を見殺しにした。その後大手自動車資本は生産拠点を北米などに移し予防策を講じたが、第二次トランプ政権の「ディール」では農業や中小企業が見殺しにされかねない。
地獄の道連れの先
更にここ数年、対中国を意識した「経済安保」法制が強化されてきた。米国は、先端産業・軍事関連産業の共同開発で技術が流出しないよう厳格な運用を求め、日本と中国との経済関係を一層狭めようとするだろう。
「日米同盟基軸」という地獄の道連れの先には、米国の代わりに日本の核武装も選択肢だという議論すら待ち構えている。現実的な打開策はただ一つ。立憲民主党も含めた「日米同盟基軸」翼賛体制を改め、中国との関係を改善することだ。中国との貿易関係が拡充すればトランプの脅しも効かなくなる。「台湾有事」などと煽られた防衛費増税も米国製武器の爆買いも防げる。
英訳版↓
No. 1379 How to Respond to New US Presidency
Candidate Trump has won in the US presidential election in 2024. The world has ushered in a domain of greater havocs. The United States will present requests that may deteriorate our livelihood and destroy Article Nine of the Constitution. Politics based on the US-Japan alliance must be changed now.
OVERCOME DOCTRINE OF RELIANCE ON US-JAPAN ALLIANCE!
Commercial media outlets have began reporting that the Trump-led US government will demand the Japanese government to contribute more to the former on the ground that the new US government will have an ‘internally-looking stance’ and want to avoid ‘a vacuum of the international order’ in the Asia-Pacific region. The media’s uproar helps Trump’s expectations.
A request of spending 3% of GDP on military field
A strategic adversary of the United States is China. Under the Biden administration the US Congress has elaborated tactics on the bipartisanship basis to cope with the rival, integrating Japan into the agenda as a front-line soldier. The succeeding administration will keep the same strategy, provoking a ‘Taiwan contingency’ in order to let China exhausted economically and militarily.
The new US government will diminish burdens stemming from the conflict in Ukraine, shifting its energies toward China. Trying to avoid its own losses, it will make Japan owe costs.
In addition to a request to appropriate more to the stationing of US military in Japan, the coming government will demand to allocate 3% of the GDP in the defense budget so that the government of Japan should buy an enormous volume of US-made weapons. It will urge to strengthen capabilities of the Self Defense Forces (SDF), share infrastructures in common, and develop logistics bases across the country, though it will deploy a minor number of the Marines during certain ‘emergencies.’
The Self Defense Forces Act was revised in the recent ordinary session of the Diet to set up a new headquarters of integrated operational command of the ground, air and maritime forces, and a new command center will be established on the side of the US military, too, to ally with the new phase, which was confirmed by the two governments. Processes are going on in which the SDF will be commanded by the US military.
The new administration will use tariffs as a weapon to make others purchase US products: the first-round Trump administration threatened Japan over the tariff on automobiles and forced to reduce customs duties on Japanese agricultural goods. The government of Japan left agriculture in the lurch to support capitals of the car industry. The big capitals gradually shifted its manufacturing sites to North American nations to survive. The second-round Trump administration’s ‘deal’ may endanger agriculture and small-and-medium-sized enterprises.
A fellow traveler will lead us to the hell
Incidentally, the Diet has enacted a series of laws for years in terms of consolidating the economic security agenda, keenly focusing on China. The new US government will request strict implementation of these laws and drive a wedge in the economic ties between China and Japan so that technologies may not leak of the US-Japan bilateral development efforts in the fields of leading-edge and military-related industries.
The ‘pivot of US-Japan alliance’, a companion of the Japanese government, will take us to the hell. They are even ready to talk openly about nuclear armament of Japan as an option, alternating the US.
A realist path to overcome difficulties is only one; to improve Japan’s relationship with China, changing the ‘US-Japan alliance’ dictatorial scheme, which even the Constitutional Democratic Party, the biggest opposition, relies on. When a trade volume with China increases, threatening by the US government will not work. An enormous increase in the defense budget and a bulk purchase of US-made weapons will be eluded, too.
November 20, 2024